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Global Warming: Ten Facts and Ten Myths on Climate Change

Robert M. Carter is a Research Professor at James Cook University (Queensland) and the University of Adelaide (South Australia). He is a palaeontologist, stratigrapher, marine geologist and environmental scientist with more than thirty years professional experience.

By Nerti U. Qatja@VOP_Today – Prof. Robert M. Carter

Ten facts about climate change

1.     Climate has always changed, and it always will. The assumption that prior to the industrial revolution the Earth had a “stable” climate is simply wrong. The only sensible thing to do about climate change is to prepare for it.

2.    Accurate temperature measurements made from weather balloons and satellites since the late 1950s show no atmospheric warming since 1958.  In contrast, averaged ground-based thermometers record a warming of about 0.40 C over the same time period. Many scientists believe that the thermometer record is biased by the Urban Heat Island effect and other artefacts.

3.    Despite the expenditure of more than US$50 billion dollars looking for it since 1990, no unambiguous anthropogenic (human) signal has been identified in the global temperature pattern.

4.    Without the greenhouse effect, the average surface temperature on Earth would be -180 C rather than the equable +150 C that has nurtured the development of life.

     Carbon dioxide is a minor greenhouse gas, responsible for ~26% (80 C) of the total greenhouse effect (330C), of which in turn at most 25% (~20C) can be attributed to carbon dioxide contributed by human activity. Water vapour, contributing at least 70% of the effect, is by far the most important atmospheric greenhouse gas.

5.    On both annual (1 year) and geological (up to 100,000 year) time scales, changes in atmospheric temperature PRECEDE changes in CO2. Carbon dioxide therefore cannot be the primary forcing agent for temperature increase (though increasing CO2 does cause a diminishingly mild positive temperature feedback).

6.    The UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has acted as the main scaremongerfor the global warming lobby that led to the Kyoto Protocol. Fatally, the IPCC is a political, not scientific, body.

Hendrik Tennekes, a retired Director of Research at the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, says that “the IPCC review process is fatally flawed” and that “the IPCC wilfully ignores the paradigm shift created by the foremost meteorologist of the twentieth century, Edward Lorenz“.

7.    The Kyoto Protocol will cost many trillions of dollars and exercises a significant impost those countries that signed it, but will deliver no significant cooling (less than .020 C by 2050, assuming that all commitments are met).

The Russian Academy of Sciences says that Kyoto has no scientific basis; Andre Illarianov, senior advisor to Russian president Putin, calls Kyoto-ism “one of the most agressive, intrusive, destructive ideologies since the collapse of communism and fascism“. If Kyoto was a “first step” then it was in the same wrong direction as the later “Bali roadmap”.

8.    Climate change is a non-linear (chaotic) process, some parts of which are only dimly or not at all understood. No deterministic computer model will ever be able to make an accurate prediction of climate 100 years into the future.

9.    Not surprisingly, therefore, experts in computer modelling agree also that no current (or likely near-future) climate model is able to make accurate predictions of regional climate change.

10.   The biggest untruth about human global warming is the assertion that nearly all scientists agree that it is occurring, and at a dangerous rate.

The reality is that almost every aspect of climate science is the subject of vigorous debate. Further, thousands of qualified scientists worldwide have signed declarations which query the evidence for hypothetical human-caused warming and support a rational scientific (not emotional) approach to its study within the context of known natural climate change.

LAYING TEN GLOBAL WARMING MYTHS

Myth 1     Average global temperature (AGT) has increased over the last few years.

Fact 1       Within error bounds, AGT has not increased since 1995 and has declined since 2002, despite an increase in atmospheric CO2 of 8% since 1995. 

Myth 2     During the late 20th Century, AGT increased at a dangerously fast rate and reached an unprecedented magnitude.

Facts 2      The late 20th Century AGT rise was at a rate of 1-20 C/century, which lies well within natural rates of climate change for the last 10,000 yr. AGT has been several degrees warmer than today many times in the recent geological past. 

Myth 3     AGT was relatively unchanging in pre-industrial times, has sky-rocketed since 1900, and will increase by several degrees more over the next 100 years (the Mann, Bradley & Hughes “hockey stick” curve and its computer extrapolation).

Facts 3      The Mann et al. curve has been exposed as a statistical contrivance. There is no convincing evidence that past climate was unchanging, nor that 20th century changes in AGT were unusual, nor that dangerous human warming is underway.

Myth 4     Computer models predict that AGT will increase by up to 60 C over the next 100 years.

Facts 4      Deterministic computer models do. Other equally valid (empirical) computer models predict cooling. 

Myth 5     Warming of more than 20 C will have catastrophic effects on ecosystems and mankind alike.

Facts 5      A 20 C change would be well within previous natural bounds. Ecosystems have been adapting to such changes since time immemorial. The result is the process that we call evolution. Mankind can and does adapt to all climate extremes.

Myth 6     Further human addition of CO2 to the atmosphere will cause dangerous warming, and is generally harmful.

Facts 6      No human-caused warming can yet be detected that is distinct from natural system variation and noise. Any additional human-caused warming which occurs will probably amount to less than 10 C. Atmospheric CO2 is a beneficial fertilizer for plants, including especially cereal crops, and also aids efficient evapo-transpiration. 

Myth 7     Changes in solar activity cannot explain recent changes in AGT.

Facts 7      The sun’s output varies in several ways on many time scales (including the 11-, 22 and 80-year solar cycles), with concomitant effects on Earth’s climate. While changes in visible radiation are small, changes in particle flux and magnetic field are known to exercise a strong climatic effect. More than 50% of the 0.80 C rise in AGT observed during the 20th century can be attributed to solar change. 

Myth 8     Unprecedented melting of ice is taking place in both the north and south polar regions.

Facts 8      Both the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets are growing in thickness and cooling at their summit. Sea ice around Antarctica attained a record area in 2007. Temperatures in the Arctic region are just now achieving the levels of natural warmth experienced during the early 1940s, and the region was warmer still (sea-ice free) during earlier times.

Myth 9     Human-caused global warming is causing dangerous global sea-level (SL) rise.

Facts 9      SL change differs from time to time and place to place; between 1955 and 1996, for example, SL at Tuvalu fell by 105 mm (2.5 mm/yr). Global average SL is a statistical measure of no value for environmental planning purposes. A global average SL rise of 1-2 mm/yr occurred naturally over the last 150 years, and shows no sign of human-influenced increase. 

Myth 10   The late 20th Century increase in AGT caused an increase in the number of severe storms (cyclones), or in storm intensity.

Facts 10    Meteorological experts are agreed that no increase in storms has occurred beyond that associated with natural variation of the climate system.

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Founder of The Weather Channel: ‘There Is No Global Warming’

According to John Coleman, the founder of the Weather Channel, global warming is about as true as Hillary Clinton’s Benghazi testimony.

By Nerti U. Qatja@VOP_Today


In a series of tweets and emails he sent to Al Gore and various Democratic supporters and organizations, he called out climate alarmists with a barrage of facts based on actual science and not wishful thinking. As it turns out, if you chart global temperatures back into the ’70s, there are absolutely no signs of global warming.

There’s been less than one degree temperature change since 1978 and no warming to speak of since 1998. So where is the government getting their information from?

It turns out that the government has been manipulating climate computer models. This means that the American tax payers are being charged 4.7 billion dollars a year in taxes that are being used to fund organizations that carry out meaningless studiesbased on bad science. Basically, the American people are paying fake scientists to lie to them.

Find out more in the video below.

Government actions to counter “carbon pollution” have raised the cost of fuel, electricity and food by an average of $1000 per year for an average American family of four. If that family of four would only open their Internet browsers and see that the Antarctic Sea is at an all time high and sea levels are rising at an “alarming” rate of around 6 inches per century, they would feel outraged that they’re being taken advantage of, at least one would hope.

Look At These Images And Tell Me Again That Climate Change Isn’t Real

If you don’t think our planet’s climate is rapidly changing, turn off the AC and open your eyes. They say “seeing is believing” and the images below do a pretty good job of showing what’s going on with our world. Everyone is entitled to their own opinions, but facts are facts. Even if people disagree on exactly why the climate is changing, they should be able to acknowledge that it is happening.

By Nerti U. Qatja@VOP_Today – Source: NASA, Distractify


The changing climate will only continue to get worse if we don’t begin to change our ways. This issue isn’t an easy pill to swallow, but it’s something we must all acknowledge if we ever want to come up with a solution. Not just for our own sake, but for the future generation’s.

Take a look at what we’re dealing with.

1.) Drought – Lake Powell, Arizona/Utah

2.) Fires – California

3.) Flood – Cambodia

4.) Typhoon – Philippines

5.) Mass Fish Death – Indonesia

EPA

6.) Glacier Calving – Antarctica

7.) Lake Change – New Mexico

8.) Fire – Colorado

9.) Lake Change – Iraq

10.) Lake Change – Lake Meade, Nevada

11.) Deforestation – Kenya

12.) Flood – Uganda

13.) Ice Melt – Ecuador

14.) Ice Shelf Calving – Antarctica

15.) Drought – California

16.) Deforestation – Argentina

17.) Glacier Melt – Chile

18.) Lake Change – Argentina

19.) Deforestation – Brazil

20.) Glacier Melt – Arctic Circle

Either we are using up all of the natural resources, are causing global warming… or the Earth is playing a really nasty trick on us. No matter what the cause is, the world around you is changing rapidly. We need to do our best to help keep the environment healthy and not further damage this beautiful world we were given.

Share this post with others. Open their eyes to the changes all around them.

If global warming is real, then why does their own data show no warming for 58 years?

Global warming is a seriously hot topic; every day there’s a new report claiming that humans are to blame for climate change. According to the NOAA in their latest press briefing, levels of carbon dioxide are to blame for the “hottest year ever,” as reported by Real Climate Science. Yet, a closer look at the NOAA’s own data shows that in reality, there has been no warming for the last 58 years.

By Nerti U. Qatja@VOP_Today – Source: Natural News


In their press briefing, the NOAA included a graph of the last 37 years – but stated that they have a 58-year-long temperature record, their “evidence” of global warming. However, the earlier data that they conveniently missed off the graph shows as much pre-1979 cooling as post-1979 warming, according to Real Climate Science. In fact, it seems that the earth’s atmosphere has not warmed at all since the late 1950s.

So, the NOAA’s own data actually shows that there has been no warming for the last 58 years, but they have tried to cover that up by only showing part of the graph.

Questions are being asked

According to Hoax News, congress is looking to investigate the latest NOAA study, and has issued subpoenas to the Obama Administration. Lamar Smith, chairman of the House Committee on Science, Space and Technology, has requested that the NOAA hand over their scientific data as well as any internal communications between employees involved in their study.

Smith argues that “when an agency decides to alter the way it has analyzed historical temperature data for the past few decades, it’s crucial to understand on what basis those decisions were made.”

According to American Thinker, NASA are regularly stating that certain years are “the hottest on record” – but only have historical data dating to 1880. There has actually been a climate change trend dating back to before 1880, and predating any increases in carbon dioxide. In fact, it seems that NASA’s own scientists actually debunked global warming in a recent study that tracked infrared emissions from the earth’s upper atmosphere during and after a recent solar storm.

Their study found that the vast majority of energy was reflected out into space rather than down to earth. This reveals a cooling effect that completely contradicts NASA’s own reports that greenhouse gases are the cause of global warming, with carbon dioxide and nitric oxide actually reflecting heating energy away from the Earth’s surface rather than absorbing it.

Popular Climate Change Myths

Before the industrial revolution the Earth had a stable climate

Incorrect. In fact the Earth’s climate has always changed and it always will, according to GlobalResearch.

Data shows that the Earth is warming

Incorrect. Actually, if you look at accurate temperature measurements made from weather balloons and satellites over the last 60 years, you will see that they show no atmospheric warming since 1958. Despite the government using more than $50 billion of taxpayers’ money to search for evidence in support of climate change since 1990, no accurate human signal has been identified.

Carbon dioxide is the most important greenhouse gas

Incorrect. Water vapor is the most important greenhouse gas – accounting for at least 70 percent of the greenhouse effect. Carbon dioxide actually only contributes 26 percent to the total greenhouse effect.

The average global temperature is increasing

Incorrect. Within error bounds, the average global temperature has actually not increased since 1995, and has been declining since 2002, despite the continuing increase in atmospheric CO2.

What to believe

Science is funded by the government – and when that happens, as stated by President Eisenhower, it becomes less scientific and more political. According to American Thinker, “the Democrats believe, and the Republicans are skeptical. … Neither party pays much attention to the scientific facts.”

The NOAA is not being totally transparent about its own data and the ways in which its reports have been created, so what do they have to hide? Surely if they were 100 percent sure about the data they are reporting, they wouldn’t be keeping back charts that demonstrate there has been no warming for 58 years?

Edward Snowden: “Global Warming Is An Invention Of The CIA”

Moscow | National Security Agency whistleblower Edward Snowden, has made a new controversial claim yesterday during an interview, saying that he possesses some classified information proving that the CIA is behind the “theory of Global Warming”.

Edward Snowden: “Global Warming is an invention of the CIA”

By Barbara JohnsonWorld News Daily Report


Snowden, who lives as a fugitive in Russia after leaking documents about the NSA’s surveillance programs, has made some previously unreported allegations during an interview with the Moscow Tribune.

Mr. Snowden says the CIA first orchestrated the spread of the “Global Warming scare” in the 1950s, in order to divert the attention of the scientific community, from the dangers of the weapons race and reinforce its control over research institutes.

I have documents showing that the CIA invented the whole thing,” claims Edward Snowden. “Global Warming was invented to both scare people, and divert their attention from other human-made dangers like nuclear weapons. The CIA gave millions of dollars to any scientist who would confirm the theory, so many unscrupulous scientists did what they were told in order to get the money. Now, there is so much fake data to confirm that Global Warming “exists”, that they actually convinced everyone that it was real.”

Edward Snowden was hired by an NSA contractor in 2013 after previous employment with Dell and the CIA. In the month of June of the same year, he revealed thousands of classified NSA documents to journalists. He also claims to be in possession of CIA documents, linking the agency to many illegal activities.

The US government filed espionage charges against him shortly after his revelations were made public. He has been living under asylum in Moscow, after fleeing the US for Hong Kong in the wake of the leaks.

On July 28 2015, the White House has rejected a “We the People” petition of nearly 168,000 signatories, to pardon him.

He has since threatened to release other documents in his possession, which he claims would be far more embarrassing for the American government than the ones he has already rendered public.

FBI Could Investigate Exxon Mobil for Climate Change Cover Up

Last year, an investigation by InsideClimate News found that scientists employed by Exxon Mobil warned the company about the connection between burning fossil fuels and a warming climate all the way back in 1977.

By Grist, Video Newsy Science Democracy Now!


Even more damning, reporters found that the company systematically ignored what it knew, even allegedly misleading the public about the science as it continued to pump carbon into the atmosphere unabated. Exxon, one of the most profitable companies in history, was handsomely rewarded for the subterfuge. But now, the oil giant may have to answer to for their actions. To the FBI.

InsideClimate News now reports that the U.S. Department of Justice has forwarded a request for a federal investigation to the FBI’s criminal division from two Democratic members of Congress. In a letter to Reps. Ted Lieu and Mark DeSaulnier, Joseph Campbell, the DOJ’s assistant director for criminal investigation, wrote:

As a courtesy, we have forwarded your correspondence to the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI). The FBI is the investigative arm of the Department, upon which we rely to conduct the initial fact finding in federal cases. The FBI will determine whether an investigation is warranted.

This doesn’t mean we’ll see the well-heeled executives at Exxon in shackles any time soon. John Marti, a former federal prosecutor in the U.S. Attorney’s Office for the District of Minnesota, called the Justice Department’s response a “punt,” according to InsideClimate News, and said that the DOJ “appears to be reluctant to engage in this matter.”

But should the FBI decide to look into Exxon, the future for the company could be bleak. “This is turning into a nightmare for Exxon,” wrote 350’s co-founder Jamie Henn in a statement, “No company wants to hear their name and ‘criminal’ in the same sentence.

This FBI investigation must quickly lead back to a full Department of Justice inquiry and, ultimately, legal action. There’s too much public pressure and action by state Attorney General’s for this case to disappear into a bureaucratic blackhole. Exxon knew about climate change, they misled the public, and it’s time for them to held to criminal account.”

But will they be? In a nation where white-collar criminals are more likely to see Christmases bonuses than jail time, the idea that anyone from Exxon will be held accountable seems unlikely. Then again, at least one U.S. politician is intent on changing this culture: Sen. Elizabeth Warren recently released a report on criminal justice and the lack thereof among corporate criminals. “The failure to prosecute big, visible crimes has a corrosive effect on the fabric of democracy and our shared belief that we are all equal in the eyes of the law,” wrote Warren.

Clearly, as the justice system operates now — when nonviolent drug offenders get more jail time than major polluters — we aren’t all equal in the eyes of the law. Maybe a probe into Exxon will be the start.